Epidemiology and Infection

Automated outbreak detection can enhance infectious disease surveillance by enabling early identification of outbreaks and supporting timely public health measures. However, information on its current use by national public health institutes (NPHI) remains limited. This paper provides an updated and extended overview of automated outbreak detection usage in the European Union (EU) and United Kingdom (UK). Key findings were gathered through the Joint Action United4Surveillance via an online surve...

BackgroundInitial reports from the Netherlands indicate a decline in routine childhood vaccination uptake during and after the COVID-19 pandemic, with emerging evidence of reduced parental vaccine confidence. This study aimed to evaluate the long-term impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on routine childhood vaccination uptake. MethodsWe conducted a retrospective nationwide cohort study including all children born in the Netherlands in 2016-2024. First-dose DTaP-IPV vaccination status by age six mon...

The COVID-19 pandemic exposed major vulnerabilities of hospital capacity and management worldwide, particularly in intensive care units (ICUs) and emergency rooms (ER), imposing prompt adaptation and resource reallocation. Although SARS-CoV-2 is no longer endangering healthcare systems, winter seasons continue to bring recurrent overload of critical care services, primarily due to respiratory infections. In France e.g., this pattern led to the reactivation of the national emergency response plan...

BackgroundMeasles is a highly contagious infectious disease and a leading cause of childhood morbidity and mortality worldwide. In developing country like Ethiopia, effective immunization is a proven strategy for reducing measles related illness and deaths. However, measles second dose vaccination drop out has become a major public health concern. In a densely populated city such as Addis Ababa drop rate tends to be higher than the minimum acceptable threshold, leading to increased number of cas...

ABSTRACTO_ST_ABSBackgroundC_ST_ABSHealthcare workers (HCWs) could be subject to stigma, particularly in contexts of fear of contagion related to various communicable diseases. While existing literature has established links between workplace stigma and adverse mental health outcomes, this research has largely focused on stigma derived from personal characteristics (e.g., race, gender). However, studies specifically investigating occupational stigma - the stigma resulting directly from the nature...

This study shows that the quality of the morbidity data is sufficient to allow for meaningful analyses of spatiotemporal dynamics and provides a significant contribution to understanding the 1918-1920 influenza pandemic in Switzerland by complementing existing mortality- focused research with a morbidity perspective. Previous studies have examined the spatial patterns of mortality during the 1918-1920 influenza pandemic and associated explanatory factors. However, while mortality reflects the se...

To characterize tuberculosis transmission and assess the impact of important interventions, a data-driven SEITR TB model is created. The potential for disease persistence has been calculated using the basic reproduction number. To determine the factors most significantly affecting the spread of tuberculosis, stability and sensitivity analyses are conducted. Strengthened treatment measures and optimized distancing significantly lower infection levels, according to numerical simulations. The Least...

BackgroundDengue fever is a major neglected tropical disease with a rapidly rising global burden, and localized outbreaks are increasingly reported in southern subtropical China. Fujian Province, a coastal subtropical region with favorable ecological conditions for Aedes albopictus breeding and frequent cross-border exchanges with dengue-endemic areas, has had continuous local dengue cases for over a decade, raising concerns about the establishment of a stable natural endemic focus. Sustained lo...

BackgroundIn Bangladesh, cholera treatment focuses on acute watery diarrhea in symptomatic cases at health facilities, though asymptomatic infections are common. Understanding the role of asymptomatic infections in transmission is crucial for designing appropriate control strategies in this setting. MethodsWe utilized data from household studies conducted in Dhaka, Bangladesh during 2006-2018 where a symptomatic confirmed cholera case and their household contacts were followed for thirty days. ...

BackgroundThe COVID-19 pandemic was strongly shaped by the interaction between population behaviour and transmission dynamics. Standard mathematical models do not account for this interaction, however. Objectivewe tested whether adding a mechanistic representation of population behavioural dynamics improves the ability of a mathematical model to explain and predict COVID-19 pandemic waves. MethodsWe compared a standard Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model to a variant (SIRx) with a mecha...

Incidence of norovirus has strong seasonality in temperate and continental climates. Many studies have examined its association with climate variables, but evidence remains disparate. We address this gap by performing a systematic review to summarise and interpret the strength and directionality of associations between climate variables and norovirus incidence. Embase, Scopus, Web of Science and PubMed databases were screened for peer-reviewed studies on 2nd of December 2024. Articles were incl...

IntroductionEnteric fever, caused by Salmonella enterica serovars Typhi and Paratyphi, remains an important cause of febrile illness in low- and middle-income countries (LMIC). However, the exact burden is difficult to estimate due to limitations in diagnosis and surveillance. MethodsSamples from a representative cross-sectional household serosurvey in rural western Cambodia were used to estimate enteric fever seroincidence among children and young adults. Participants were enrolled between Apr...

We genotyped 1189 multidrug-resistant Mycobacterium tuberculosis isolates identified during 2013-2022 in Argentina, through a mixed strategy using PCR-based methods and whole-genome sequencing. Epidemiological, geographic distribution and microbiological data were integrated. Most cases belonged to a cluster (75.7%). The proportion of orphan and clustered cases varied across regions. The Euro-American lineage4 was virtually predominant. The most important clusters, M, Ra, Rb and Callao2 strains,...

BackgroundThe Intensive care unit (ICU) service is highly limited in sub Saharan Africa countries due to varying of quantities and qualities infrastructures. However, the burden of critical ill patient in low resource countries is higher and possibly increasing with urbanization, developing epidemics and access to hospitals service. The main objective of this study was to assess the outcomes of ICU admission and identify the areas of improvement in critical care. Methodsan institutional based r...

Infectious diseases and chronic diseases are two major fields in epidemiology that have traditionally been studied separately because of their distinct etiologies and modeling methods. Infectious disease data are typically collected at an aggregated level and analyzed using compartmental models, most commonly the susceptible (S), infectious (I), and recovered (R) (SIR) model, whereas chronic disease data are usually collected at the individual level and analyzed using multi-state survival models...

BackgroundUnderstanding hospital admission and mortality trends is essential for enhancing health system performance in low- and middle-income countries. In Ghana, systemic challenges such as unequal access to care, workforce shortages, and changing disease patterns - exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic - underscore the need for comprehensive health data analysis. This study examines national hospital morbidity and mortality trends from 2019 to 2023, identifying demographic and clinical factors...

Monkeypox viral disease has been and continues to be a global public health concern. Currently, there are existing, though minimal measures to manage mpox and any future outbreaks. Relying on data-driven modeling for early detection of mpox and prediction of possible cases and deaths in the presence of an outbreak is thus imperative. The present study forecasted global mpox virus cases and deaths in Asia, Africa, Australia, Europe, North America, Oceania, and South America. Three forecasting mod...

Efficient and secure integration of epidemiological data with pathogen genome sequence data is essential for identification of transmission clusters, monitoring of emerging mutations and targeting public health responses. However, this information is often collected across different organisations: epidemiological data is collected by public health units while genome sequence data is collected by diagnostic laboratories. Linking these sources often requires manual or semi-manual approaches, leadi...

We describe a fast, noninvasive, low-cost survey method designed to understand the mode of transmission of an emerging pathogen. It is inspired from the standard household prevalence survey consisting in sampling households and counting the total number of people infected in each household, but refines it with the aim of improving diagnosis and estimating more parameters of the model of intra-household transmission. The survey was carried out in May-June 2020, during part of the first national ...

BackgroundSerotype 3 (S3) has remained a major cause of invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) despite its inclusion in 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV). In October 2023, a 15-valent PCV (PCV15) including S3 was introduced into the Catalan universal childhood immunization program. MethodsWe conducted a retrospective pre-post surveillance study to compare pediatric IPD incidence in Catalonia during a pre-PCV15 period (October 1, 2022-September 30, 2023) and two post-PCV15 periods (Oct...